Recently, like many friends doing market research, the editor is looking at the countdown to September on the calendar. As the market began to improve month-on-month in August, everyone’s expectations for the market in September this year have also begun to increase: the peak season in the first half of the year is not strong, can the peak season in the second half of the year be turned around? When this topic has not yet been confirmed, the market seems to be “ready to move”!
According to the practice of previous years, market orders will be issued one after another in late August, paving the way for the arrival of the “Golden Nine”, so now the market order situation has partially improved, although everyone knows As we all know, this year’s “Golden Nine” is difficult to make from “9999” pure gold, so I wonder if it can be regarded as “999” pure gold?
Before, we had no choice but to reduce the start of work, but now we are taking the initiative to increase the load
In July this year, many manufacturers took advantage of the hot weather and hung up “summer vacation” signs. The market The operating rate was once lower than the same period last year, but recently as the high temperature has eased, the market has improved, and the factory’s production enthusiasm has gradually recovered.
According to a survey of sample companies by China Silk City Network, starting last week, the operating rates of several major industrial clusters in Jiangsu and Zhejiang have rebounded to varying degrees. Among them, water-jet looms The operating rate of circular knitting machines has increased to more than 80%, the operating rate of circular knitting machines has increased from 40% to 50% to 50% to 60%, and the operating rate of warp knitting has also increased from 60% to about 70%. Compared with the beginning of August, the operating rate has generally increased by 5%. -10%.
“Recent orders are a bit more than before, and we are starting to Now that full production has been restored, the next step will be to see whether production and sales can go smoothly.” said Mr. Wang, the owner of a simulated silk factory in Wujiang area. With the arrival of autumn and winter, the demand for cold-proof clothing and casual clothing will increase in the market, which will drive the placement of orders for related fabrics to a certain extent. Based on this concept, many companies have begun to moderately produce seasonal products.
There is hope for orders, and traders’ orders are “recovering”!
Previously, the market said that it was not “like” but “lonely”. In June and July of this year, the market situation faded to new heights, which also made traders particularly anxious, not only fabric traders, but also clothing traders. Therefore, many customers will choose to ask fabric traders to make more samples and send them to them to facilitate their customers to make choices and place orders. Of course, most of the samples are “disappeared”. In the words of a Shengze trader, he has made more than 200 samples recently, but has not received a single confirmed order, which is very tiring!
Recently this deadlock seems to be beginning to be broken. The editor visited Shengze, Changxing, Shaoxing and other clusters, and found that the current situation of traders is polarized, good and bad, but the proportion of good news feedback is slightly higher, which also proves that the market is on a good path.
In July, Mr. Chen, a trader in Shaoxing, complained to the editor that orders could not be compared with previous years. However, last week he said that the order volume in August was already the same as in July. The quantity for the entire month is almost there, and we can probably have the orders on hand until the end of September, or around October in some cases. Mr. Chen, who specializes in fashion fabrics in the Shengze area, also said that customers have recently placed several orders for conventional imitation silk. Although the order quantity is not large, at least there is an order to be made.
Of course, during the visit, we also found that companies that still stick to mainstream products are not having an easy time. For example, companies that integrate industry and trade and make polyester taffeta and Oxford cloth are indeed facing challenges. Inventories are piled to the ceiling, making you lose money even more if you don’t start the machine.
“At present, we have shut down some machines, and we are going to eliminate these machines. Maybe we will install new machines, maybe to be determined. The current market has not changed very well.” Mr. Bao, who has been in the market for more than ten years, said.
The market is currently in the “watershed” of the off-peak and peak seasons. While everyone is confused, the data also speaks for itself. point of view: Judging from the inventory indicators monitored by China Silk City Network, the previous state of accumulated inventory has finally been broken: as the industry load increases, gray fabric inventory has begun to decline. Most of the interviewed companies also said that the production and sales of the factory have been able to in the near future. It is flat, but it is still unclear whether the inventory can be successfully destocked in the coming days.
Conclusion
No matter what the answer is Is the falling market short-term or long-term? At least the market has seen the “dawn of hope” for now. Of course, we must also face up to a problem: the economy in 2019 has entered an anxious state.
The economic growth rate in 2018 was the peak of the past decade, but starting from 2019, the economic growth rate is declining , it can be seen that the previous era of high-speed, expansion, and strong economic growth, as well as the era of enterprise expansion, layout, and scale increase, has gradually become a thing of the past, and a slow-growing…The time has come. All walks of life cannot escape this new economic cycle, and the textile industry is no exception.
Therefore, the editor wants to say that the peak season is indeed on the way, but it needs to be treated with caution and not to be “smoke bombed” Cover your eyes!
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