Recently, a piece of climate news has attracted the attention of textile people: the China Meteorological Administration “officially announced” on October 3 that according to the prediction of the National Climate Center, a La Niña event will form in the winter of 2020!
The probability of a cold winter this year is high, “Double Ten” “One” and “Double Twelve” are expected to drive the production of cold-proof clothing fabrics
Currently, judging from the indices in some monitoring areas, the La Niña phenomenon continues to decline, and La Niña’s There is a high probability that the development will extend into this winter. According to a comprehensive analysis of the five La Niña events that have occurred since the 21st century, in the winter of La Niña years, the temperature in most areas of central and eastern my country is generally lower than the same period in normal years.
I still remember the impact of last year’s warm winter. Some manufacturers that mainly focus on autumn and winter fabrics can no longer sell, and clothing companies have stocked up unsalable cotton and down jackets in several warehouses. For the textile people who “depend on the weather”, the cold winter is good news, which can boost the purchase of autumn and winter fabrics by clothing companies.
Youbu boss said happily: “We shipped more than 10 million meters of bile cloth in September. I feel that the market is gradually improving, which may be related to the cold winter. The probability is high. Double Eleven and Double Twelve are coming soon. It has something to do with e-commerce preparing goods in advance. The rigid demand still exists.”
Coincidentally, another trader said : “This year, there have been a lot of inquiries about thick and heavy-duty cold-proof clothing fabrics. Now I have more than 10 samples on hand. I hope to convert them into orders later.
When will the stock be available? Can you digest it?
Although the probability of a cold winter this year has greatly increased the confidence of some textile people, more cloth bosses are still not optimistic about the next market. The main reason is that the inventory is too high! It is said that last year, a clothing company stocked 7 warehouses of cotton clothing without selling them, and finally had to sell them at low prices to recover funds. Some professionals revealed that even if the production of down jackets on the market stops, It is enough to digest for 20 years! When will such a high inventory be digested? The high inventory of clothing companies has been transmitted to the weaving market. Since last year, the inventory of weaving manufacturers has been at a high level in recent years. After the epidemic in the first half of the year With orders cancelled, the inventory of weaving mills has become higher and higher. Although some goods have been shipped off intermittently since June, production and sales are still uneven and cannot meet urgent needs. A manufacturer of gallbladder cloth said that the current gallbladder cloth Cloth inventory is close to 10 million meters. At the same time, a manufacturer of imitation memory fabrics also revealed that it is now close to 3 months of inventory!
Currently, the inventory of most weaving companies has reached 2 months There has been a warning line for many months, especially for some manufacturers that make conventional products or mainly sell foreign trade orders. The COVID-19 epidemic has dealt a heavy blow to the market. Due to the sharp drop in income, people are more cautious in purchasing clothing. At the same time, the uncertainty of foreign trade is now The epidemic is very strong. The epidemic in Europe and the United States has begun to rebound. Many textile bosses are very worried. It is not impossible to encounter the situation of canceled orders midway again. As for whether the current wave of market is sustainable or not, everyone has no idea. At the end of the day, we can only take one step at a time.
Postscript
No matter what, there is a high probability of a cold winter this year This news still has a certain boosting effect on the market. Judging from the cold winter conditions in previous years, the sales of autumn and winter fabrics will not be bad. To a certain extent, it will allow weaving companies to remove a wave of inventory. But the editor here also I would like to remind all bosses that the climate is changing. At present, it is only said that the probability of cold winter is higher, but it is not completely certain. Please do not blindly stock up on goods. After all, judging from the current situation, ensuring sufficient cash flow is the most important thing. Of!</p
