Overview of national viscose fiber production, sales and inventory operations in November 2008
1. Overview of raw materials in November
(1) Cotton linters
The price of linters has dropped significantly this month. From the beginning to the first ten days of the month, the transaction price in major areas such as Shandong and Henan has dropped to around 2,200 yuan to 2,500 yuan/ton. , the price dropped by about 300 yuan/ton compared with the end of last month. Moreover, trading volume has gradually shrunk, and market activity has gradually declined. From the middle to the end of the month, the cotton linters market deteriorated again. Affected by the falling prices of downstream pulp and viscose fiber, the price of short velvet continues to fall. Prices in Shandong, Jiangsu and other regions are relatively stable, with mainstream prices remaining at around 2,400 yuan/ton. Prices in Jiangxi, Xinjiang and other regions fell below 2,000 yuan/ton. Since the current upstream and downstream market conditions for viscose products are relatively sluggish and it is difficult to see significant improvements in a short period of time, the price of short lint is still likely to continue to fall.
(2) Cotton pulp
Pulp prices continued to fall this month due to the fall in linters prices. As of the end of the month, the price of filament pulp fell to 7,800 yuan/ton, a cumulative decrease of 1,000 yuan/ton this month, a decrease of 11.36%. The price of short fiber pulp fell to 6,500 yuan/ton, a cumulative decrease of 1,300 yuan/ton this month, a decrease of 16.66%. Affected by the continued decline in the price of cotton linters, long and short silk pulp may still continue to decline in the market outlook.
2. Overview of viscose fiber in November
(1) Viscose staple fiber
1. Overview of production, sales and inventory
According to statistics from the China Textile Circulation Association (sample enterprise), the production of short fiber this month is about 49,300 tons, an increase of nearly 2,000 tons from the previous month, an increase of 4.17%. A decrease of nearly 12,500 tons compared with last year, a decrease of 20.26%. Sales volume this month was approximately 42,600 tons, a decrease of nearly 700 tons or 1.56% from the previous month. A year-on-year decrease of nearly 18,600 tons, a decrease of 30.43%. The inventory this month is approximately 35,800 tons, an increase of nearly 6,800 tons from the previous month, an increase of 23.51%. A year-on-year increase of nearly 23,200 tons, an increase of 185.61%. This month’s production and sales rate was 86.55%, a decrease of 5.30 percentage points from the previous month. A year-on-year decrease of 12.65 percentage points. The inventory level this month was 72.69%, an increase of 11.39 percentage points from the previous month. A year-on-year increase of 52.40 percentage points.
2. Market Overview
This month, the price of short fiber continued to fall sharply and hit a new low due to factors such as the continued decline in upstream short fiber pulp prices and the sluggish downstream market conditions. As of the end of the month, the price of short fiber fell to 12,500 yuan/ton, a cumulative decrease of 2,700 yuan/ton this month, a decrease of 17.76%. At present, the price of short fiber has fallen below the previous low price in early January 2006, when the price was 12,600 yuan/ton. In the future, the short fiber market will still be constrained by two factors: lower prices of upstream raw materials and sluggish downstream market conditions, and will continue to show a downward trend.
3. Sales flow
According to statistics from the China Textile Circulation Association (sample enterprise), viscose staple fiber sales this month are mainly concentrated in Jiangsu, Zhejiang, Henan, Shandong and other regions. There was little change in the inflow volume of each major sales region this month. Due to the continued reduction in foreign market demand, exports this month decreased significantly, 571 tons less than last month, a decrease of 38.48%. Inflows from other regions were relatively small and did not change much. The inflow volume of viscose staple fiber in Beijing, Tianjin, Jiangxi, Hainan, Yunnan, Gansu, Qinghai, Ningxia and other regions this month was blank.
(2) Viscose filament
1. Overview of production, sales and inventory
According to statistics from the China Textile Circulation Association (sample enterprise), approximately 12,100 tons of filament were produced this month, a decrease of nearly 1,100 tons from the previous month. The decrease was 8.78%. A year-on-year decrease of nearly 5,300 tons, a decrease of 30.33%. The sales volume this month was approximately 14,100 tons, a slight increase of 2.86% from the previous month. A year-on-year decrease of nearly 1,300 tons, a decrease of 8.75%. The inventory this month is approximately 28,000 tons, a decrease of nearly 2,000 tons from the previous month, a decrease of 6.74%. A year-on-year increase of nearly 3,500 tons, an increase of 14.20%. This month’s production and sales rate was 116.68%, an increase of 13.20 percentage points from the previous month. A year-on-year increase of 27.59 percentage points. The inventory level this month was 230.87%, an increase of 5.07 percentage points from the previous month. A year-on-year increase of 125.03 percentage points.
2. Market Overview
The filament market still shows no improvement this month, showing a continuous downward trend throughout the month. As of the end of the month, the filament price dropped to 30,000 yuan/ton, a cumulative decrease of 1,500 yuan/ton this month, a decrease of 4.76%. The early low price of filament yarn was 26,600 yuan/ton at the end of 2005. Judging from the continued decline in activity in the current filament market and the continued impact of negative factors such as the continued decline in upstream raw material prices, there is still room for continued decline in filament prices in the future, and it is very likely to fall below the previous low.
3. Sales flow
According to statistics from the China Textile Circulation Association (sample enterprise), viscose sales this month are mainly concentrated in Zhejiang, Guangdong, Jiangsu, Sichuan and other regions, as well as exports. There were no significant fluctuations in inflows and exports to major domestic sales regions this month. Inflows from other regions were relatively small and did not change much. Nearly half of the country’s regions, including Beijing, Tianjin, Shanxi, Inner Mongolia, and Heilongjiang, reported a blank inflow of viscose filament this month. AAFGHTYHCGER
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