Jin San is here, there are loads of gray fabrics on the road, and the looms are running fast in the factory. It seems that the market is getting better, but is it really getting better?
There must be many people wondering about the current market situation. Half of the textile people think that Jin San is really coming, but the other half don’t think so. “Customers in Shaoxing say that the orders they place now are all for old varieties, but there is no news about the old varieties selling well in the market, so the demand has not completely returned.” A textile boss said.
It is obvious that the market has not improved like trucks on the road or looms in factories, and the real demand has not yet fully recovered.
Has foreign trade demand recovered?
“Many orders are stocked by traders. In fact, the foreign trade market has not fully recovered. Although it is very busy, most of them are for inventory.” The textile boss said.
It is understood that the proportion of foreign trade in Shaoxing is relatively high. Many trader bosses have seen that the demand for policy opening up this year may return, so they have begun to stock up. The foreign trade market has been “in bad condition” for three years and it is impossible to expand in just a few months. You can get back on track quickly within a few seconds. So although weaving factories are busy and it looks like the peak season for placing orders is coming, in fact most of them are foreign traders stocking up.
According to the inventory days of sample companies monitored by Silkdu.com, the current local inventory days are 34.6 days, which is 0.4 days away from the last inventory digestion. More than a week has passed in the middle. According to the practice of previous years, this time period happens to be the time for manufacturers to stock up and prepare for war. It is the peak season of Golden Three, but the current inventory days can show that although the factory is busy, it is not because of stocking up for itself.
Therefore, in the opinion of the editor, the question of whether Jin San is prosperous or not is still not a problem. The performance of stocking up is basically the centralized placement of orders in an instant. The time is short and the quantity is large. With the experience of stocking up in the past few years, the textile boss I also understand the “tricks” involved. The so-called improvement in the market is just a fake “peak season”.
Quotes? Still have to look at the second half of the year
Many textile bosses believe that the market will still be tepid in March, mainly because the foreign trade market has not yet fully recovered and domestic sales are too involute, making it difficult to improve in a short period of time.
The most important thing at the moment is to increase fabric prices as much as possible and control inventory within a reasonable range. However, the situation of selling goods at low prices still exists in the market, so even if the Jinsan market improves, there is not much room for fabric prices to increase. Now there is only Fabric prices are likely to rise only if the cost side and demand side rise at the same time.
Gold, gold, silver and silver may not arrive as scheduled. The market may still continue as it is in the first half of the year. It will take some time to recover. The inventory of previous years still needs to be digested. Fabric prices will still be low in a short period of time. Perhaps through relief in the first half of the year, the second half of the year will The market will have its peak season.
The editor believes that the market in the first half of the year should be in a relatively stable situation. As long as the raw materials do not fluctuate too much, there should be no big ups and downs.
The busy market seems to be just an illusion of the peak season, and market demand has not fully recovered. As the saying goes, “There are always more methods than difficulties.” No matter what the market situation is in 2023, textile people have to go step by step. The most important thing for textile companies now is to improve the quality and added value of their products so that they can be recognized by the market and do their best. , I believe that 2023 will give textile people a satisfactory answer!
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