“Recently, there have been so many orders for polyester taffeta in a dyeing factory that we often work in that the warehouse is full. The delivery time for simple polyester taffeta is about 10 days. We are doing foreign trade orders for cold-proof clothing. Yes, recently the orders on hand have increased by 20% year-on-year, and there are also many orders for this kind of polyester taffeta. We are a bit busy at the moment, so we can only find other dyeing factories to do it together.” said a person in charge of a foreign trade company.
According to the person in charge of a dyeing factory, their factory mainly produces polyester taffeta, pongee, nylon, etc. The current operating rate of the factory is 85%, although it is still It’s not at full capacity, but it’s pretty good considering this year’s market, where orders have been cut in half at every turn.
After the recent textile market reached a small peak this year in October, the overall market began to weaken. However, the orders of the above-mentioned textile companies did not decrease but increased instead. But what’s even more surprising is that they are doing winter clothing orders, and according to trading companies, they are currently doing orders for next year’s autumn and winter. In particular, some dyeing factories have a lot of such orders, which seems to indicate that the current market situation Mainly based on autumn and winter fabrics.
You must know that November and December are normally the production preparation season for spring and summer fabrics for the coming year. During this period, winter clothing fabrics are basically extinct. According to the person in charge of a nylon spinning trading company, they make millions of nylon spinning orders every year, and these orders are basically for down jackets. Their production cycle is usually from after the Spring Festival to around June. The entire second half of the year is basically just making prototypes, and there are almost no decent orders.
That is to say, in November and December, there will be some autumn and winter fabric sampling in the market at most, and large-scale products should not be so frequent, so why are there many orders for next year’s autumn and winter that have started production in the near future? ?
Many positive benefits are superimposed, and the forward market confidence is stronger
Although the global epidemic has not eased yet, the epidemic broke out again in some European countries, and many regions We are still under lockdown, but good news is coming out frequently at the macro level. The most exciting thing is that all countries have made more or less progress in vaccine research and development. They may be put into use as soon as the end of this year. Controlling the epidemic seems to be just around the corner. In addition, many Asian countries have joined free trade zones and the expectation of this year’s “cold winter” has stimulated the market to a certain extent.
However, the market understands that all favorable conditions are difficult to achieve in the short term. Even if the vaccine is now put into use, it may take half a year to control the epidemic. In other words, the world may still be in a tug-of-war with the epidemic for most of the next half year. It may take the second half of next year for the epidemic to truly improve and the global economy to recover significantly.
In addition, if the “cold winter” prediction comes true this year, it will definitely stimulate the sale of winter clothing. The remaining “warm winter” last year and the winter clothing prepared in advance this year will be greatly consumed. Even if the “cold winter” expectations fail, the market is accustomed to buying winter clothing before the Spring Festival, and the Spring Festival on February 12, 2021 leaves enough time for winter clothing sales before the holiday.
Therefore, no matter whether it is a cold winter or not this year, the inventory of winter clothing will be more or less depleted. If the vaccine is gradually put into use next year, the global economy will inevitably recover slowly in the second half of the year. Winter clothing The peak demand season may be officially here.
Compared with winter clothing fabrics, spring and summer orders are still lacking
When spring and summer fabric orders should play the leading role, we can see the shadow of autumn and winter fabrics everywhere. This is obviously not good for the market in front of us. What a good thing.
According to the person in charge of a dyeing factory that specializes in imitation silk fabrics, their imitation silk orders are very scarce throughout this year. It should be the peak season in the near future, but the number of orders is exaggerated. At the worst time in a week, the incoming warehouse volume was only 200,000 meters per day. You must know that the factory’s production capacity can consume 700,000 meters per day. Moreover, some of the orders are basically for four-way elastic, pongee and other varieties that have little to do with spring and summer fabrics such as imitation silk.
The lack of orders for imitation silk is actually a lack of orders for spring and summer. Not only dyeing factories, but also ordinary weaving companies have surprisingly high inventories. Even if trading companies receive spring and summer orders, they are prone to sudden cancellations.
In fact, the reasons for the tightening of the market in spring and summer next year are basically similar to the hot sales in autumn and winter next year. On the one hand, it may take the second half of next year for the vaccine to take effect, so the spring and summer market in the first half of the year is still not optimistic. At the same time, the backlog of spring and summer clothing inventory caused by the epidemic in the first half of this year urgently needs to be digested in the spring and summer sales season next year. Secondly, blindly placing orders will only increase inventory and increase sales pressure in next spring and summer. Perhaps only after next year’s spring and summer market can the subsequent spring and summer clothing truly usher in the peak order season.
The impact of the epidemic on the textile market is due to macroeconomic factors such as vaccines.�The good news is that it is gradually weakening as the market develops. The current spring and summer fabric orders may be the last production season that the epidemic can affect. Next year’s autumn and winter orders may usher in a full recovery of the textile industry.
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