China Garment Website_China's popular garment and fashion information platform China Garment News When “raw material prices rise” and “textile companies go on holiday”, is the last wave of polyester prices before the Spring Festival coming?

When “raw material prices rise” and “textile companies go on holiday”, is the last wave of polyester prices before the Spring Festival coming?



The time has come to mid-January. According to what we know from the market, the holidays for weaving companies are generally concentrated in mid-January and January. between late.…

The time has come to mid-January. According to what we know from the market, the holidays for weaving companies are generally concentrated in mid-January and January. between late. In addition, many dyeing factories and thermal power plants have also issued holiday notices, and the basic holiday times are also maintained within this range.

But at this time, polyester filament The price has gone up again.

On January 13, the price of polyester filament in various polyester factories generally increased by 50-150 yuan/ton;

On January 14, the price of polyester yarn from some polyester factories increased by another 50-100 yuan/ton.

The current round of polyester price increase is mainly affected by three factors:

The price of upstream raw materials has risen

After experiencing the downturn at the beginning of the week After a brief stagnation, the prices of PTA and ethylene glycol rose again.

In terms of PTA, the main force of PTA futures rose continuously on the 13th and 14th, breaking through the 4,000 point mark again. There was a slight correction on the 15th, closing at 4,036 points;

Ethylene glycol futures not only hit a new high since February 3, 2020 on the 12th, but also continued to rise on the 13th and 14th. The closing price was 4434 points.

Polyester plants are being overhauled one after another

Beginning in January, many polyester plants began to be shut down for maintenance

On January 4, a 200,000-ton polymeric filament spinning device in Shengze was shut down for maintenance

On January 11, A 200,000-ton polymerization unit in Changshu was shut down for maintenance

On January 12, two polymerization spinning units in Xiaoshan were shut down for maintenance

January 13, a 180,000-ton polymeric filament spinning device in Xiamen is scheduled to be shut down for maintenance in the near future

January 14 On the day, a polymeric filament spinning factory in Xiaoshan stopped to reduce the load

In a large number of installations After the shutdown for maintenance, the operating rate of the polyester plant has dropped from 90% in early January to about 88% today. It is precisely because of the reduction in operating rates that polyester factories have become more confident in raising prices.

Preparing for next year

As textile companies begin to take holidays one after another, the price of polyester has increased this time, perhaps years ago. The last round of polyester market is here. All changes in polyester prices after the beginning of next year will be based on the current polyester price benchmark. For polyester factories, what they care about may not be whether price increases can drive sales, but more about establishing confidence in weaving companies that polyester prices will be strong. This will be important for polyester factories to destock after the beginning of the second year. It is beneficial to operate with price.

Boss Bu dealt with it calmly

In fact, after an increase of nearly a thousand yuan in more than a month from December to now, cloth bosses are Polyester prices are no longer surprising, and they are relatively calm in the face of the “last price increase” before the Spring Festival.

Production and marketing

On the 13th, the average production and sales of polyester filament in polyester factories reached 80-100%, and the production and sales of some low-price factories were as high as 200%

On the 14th, polyester filament production and sales reached 80-100%. The average production and sales of polyester filament in ester factories dropped to 40-60%, a very obvious decline.

It can be seen that although the price increase has a negative impact on polyester There has been a certain promotion effect on factory production and sales, but the stamina is insufficient and the effect is no longer as significant as it was in December and early January.

Judging from what we know about the market, at this stage there are a large number of One weaving company completed its end-of-year stockpiling work during the previous wave of price increases. Now that polyester yarns are rising again, a small number of cloth owners are bullish about the beginning of next year, so they choose to continue to replenish their stocks. However, they are limited by the resources on hand. The amount of funds to replenish the treasury will not be very large.

Will cloth prices rise?

In addition, after the price increase of raw materials, textile companies will face a new choice, whether to increase cloth prices or not.

From a book perspective, starting from December, with the increase in polyester prices, the prices of gray fabrics and fabrics on the market have increased significantly: 12 At the beginning of the month, 50D stretch satin chiffon has increased from 2.9 yuan/meter to 3.3 yuan/meter, and 75D24 viscose chiffon gray fabric has also increased from 1.6 yuan/meter to 1.9 yuan/meter.

But a price increase is one thing, and the actual transaction is another. Mr. Yang, who is engaged in the imitation silk trade, said frankly: Many products on the market are now priced but not available. As the end of the year approaches, the number of actual orders has decreased. There is now a lot of inventory in the warehouse, even though the prices have been quoted higher verbally. Less, but if the customer is really sincere in placing the order, except for some in-demand fabrics that are particularly easy to sell in the market, if it is just a regular variety, it can still be cheaper after negotiation.

Editor’s note:As textile companies begin to take holidays one after another, the price of polyester filament has risen again. Unlike the past few price increases, when most weaving companies have completed stocking up on raw materials before the end of the year, the latest round of price increases has made a splash in the weaving market that is rather “calm” and more of an improvement. Fabric bosses have confidence in the future of polyester yarn.

For textile companies, the price of raw materials also drives up the price of cloth, but in more cases there is a price but no market, perhaps to some extent. Above, this behavior of the cloth boss coincides with the “final price increase” of polyester silk before the Spring Festival.

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Author: clsrich

 
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